The Third Variable Problem, the Red Phone, and the Sham Science of Polling

Wednesday, March 12th, 2008 Posted in Punditry, polling, pundits | No Comments »

We get more speculation on the effectiveness of the red phone ad. Did it work, the way pundits assume it worked in Texas and Ohio? There's no way to know. Ever. There are too many other variables. That's a classic problem of ...